tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4074047926050463661.post3130428821360425188..comments2022-08-26T22:59:17.895-07:00Comments on Five Cent Thinking : Five thoughts at Day 25drtaxsactohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12607564542286089496noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4074047926050463661.post-88220192816830475072020-04-10T07:04:44.174-07:002020-04-10T07:04:44.174-07:00For those of you who are not wonky - this article ...For those of you who are not wonky - this article does a good job of explaining what is useful and what is not in statistical models. https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2020/04/useful_vs_useless_covid19_models_a_response_to_the_armchair_analysts.html<br /><br /><br />George Box's dictum: "all models are wrong, but some are useful".drtaxsactohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12607564542286089496noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4074047926050463661.post-51511916690715205712020-04-08T20:26:04.982-07:002020-04-08T20:26:04.982-07:00Thanks for this. I heard an MD yesterday say '...Thanks for this. I heard an MD yesterday say 'all models are wrong but some are helpful'. It would be very nice if our government officials would limit themselves to addressing the problem rather than engaging in political stratigizing. How naive am I?<br />Xo<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4074047926050463661.post-74063666014489985052020-04-08T13:43:52.993-07:002020-04-08T13:43:52.993-07:00The Washington model was revised this morning to r...The Washington model was revised this morning to reflect a forecast of 2,000 deaths in California by the summer. That is 2,000 deaths too many what an amazing result we have achieved in this state if that is true. Getting out of head of it and decisively has been criticalAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13781056975901893418noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4074047926050463661.post-75505523493877650092020-04-08T11:42:39.142-07:002020-04-08T11:42:39.142-07:00I said, I am Mrs.Drtaxsacto, and I approve this me...I said, I am Mrs.Drtaxsacto, and I approve this message. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com